Every pick graded, win or lose

Sports picks, graded in public.

261-141 (64.9%) over 402 graded games in the last 30 days

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The last ten graded picks, newest first.

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One pick in your inbox every morning: our number, the book's price and the reason behind it. Graded in public like every other pick.

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The record

The latest graded picks, then the last 30 days by sport. Losses included.

NHLLost
Anaheim Ducks
Calgary Flames @ Anaheim Ducks
We said 60.7%
NHLWon
New York Islanders
Vancouver Canucks @ New York Islanders
We said 61.9%
NHLLost
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers
We said 54.0%
MLBLost
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays
We said 59.9%
NFLLost
Los Angeles Rams
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams
We said 58.7%
NFLWon
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
We said 73.9%

The last 30 days, sport by sport

NCAAF
70.1% won
167 picks · books expected 71.9%
MLB
61.3% won
119 picks · books expected 57.7%
NFL
60.8% won
51 picks · books expected 65.8%
NHL
63.0% won
46 picks · books expected 61.3%
WNBA
57.9% won
19 picks · books expected 66.0%

Green won at least as often as the books' odds expected; red did not. The mark on each bar is the books' expectation (their margin removed). Every pick, every grade →

How it works

Rigorous simulation

Every game is simulated tens of thousands of times using team strength, injuries and market context, so you get a probability rather than a gut call.

Clear probabilities

We show you the model's win probability for each side.

One side, one pick

We publish a pick only when our model rates a team above the book's price, and every one of them is graded.

Every pick is tracked after the game Full history available, losses included Updated automatically with real results

One plan, full access

Every pick, the full record, cancel any time.

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FAQ

Why should I trust these picks?

We don't hide our results. Every pick is graded after the game, and the win rate on this page includes the losses. The model simulates each game tens of thousands of times using team strength, injuries and market context, so what you see is a probability, not an opinion.

What sports and leagues are included?

NBA, NFL, NHL, and MLB. You get daily picks across all supported leagues with filters so you can focus on what you follow.

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. Cancel from your Account page whenever you like. No long-term commitment.

What do I get with the subscription?

Full access: daily picks, watchlist, filters by sport and confidence, and the full accuracy page where every graded pick is listed. One plan, no upsells.

How do I get started?

Create an account with an email and password. No credit card is needed. You get full access immediately for 7 days. If you want to keep your subscription past day 7, add a card from your account page; otherwise it simply stops, no charge.

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